Action network nfl win totals download#

Those percentages don't translate to the implied probabilities required to like either price.Īt 30%, the implied probability to be fair, per se, would be +233, and at 70% the fair number would be -233. I currently estimate the Cowboys' playoff chances at 30% make and 70% miss. The vig on that market instantly makes it difficult to find value, and my projections don't show either of those numbers as good enough to bet. While there are similar considerations to take into account regarding variables and unknowns in this market as well, I don't actually see numerical value on the Cowboys in either direction based on the pricing in the market.ĭallas is +190 to make the playoffs and -250 to miss out. It's impossible to estimate exactly when that will be due to the lack of information and randomness surrounding injuries, and each game Prescott misses is heavily influenced.ĭallas Cowboys Make/Miss Playoffs Projections There are so many variables that go into this equation, including Prescott's return date. The most likely individual outcome is seven wins, as my projections indicate a 20% chance that the Cowboys fall on that number.īecause the over is listed at +125, I do see some purely statistical value on that wager, but I wouldn't personally bet it myself. For example, I have a 19% chance of Dallas earning eight wins and an 18% chance that it wins nine games. This can be broken down into specific totals.

My in-season NFL win total projections have the Cowboys at a 51% chance of winning eight or more games. The under is juiced, so there's more added belief that the Cowboys won't be winning eight or more games.

Action network nfl win totals download#

DOWNLOAD NOW Dallas Cowboys Win Total ProjectionsĪccording to DraftKings, the regular season win total is set at 7.5 (+125/-150).